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2011-06-05

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 42 5-15 0-4 2-2 3 11 1 0 3 12 9 -
P. Pierson 42 11-17 0-1 3-4 10 3 1 1 2 25 21 -
N. Powell 39 6-12 2-5 3-3 6 6 1 1 3 17 16 -
K. Vaughn 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 8 9 -
E. Carson 25 5-11 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 11 4 -
L. Mitchell 23 4-8 3-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
J. Breland 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
Q. Hollingsworth 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
S. Spencer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Montgomery 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 42 5-16 1-5 7-10 11 5 4 1 4 18 19 -
C. Miller 39 7-14 1-3 1-3 3 2 1 0 2 16 6 -
L. Harding 33 4-11 0-0 1-2 5 9 0 0 4 9 8 -
I. Castro 30 6-16 2-6 5-7 2 1 0 1 1 19 6 -
A. Bales 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Herrington 20 5-8 0-0 3-4 1 1 3 0 0 13 10 -
E. de Souza 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Lehning 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 2 2 0 4 -
S. Irvin 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter