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2011-06-04

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“

Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (89-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Miller 31 4-9 2-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 10 9 -
M. Ajavon 30 1-8 0-0 5-6 0 4 3 0 1 7 5 -
C. Langhorne 28 8-12 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
N. Anosike 26 5-13 0-1 6-6 7 2 0 1 1 16 12 -
M. Coleman 24 2-6 0-2 2-4 3 3 3 0 0 6 9 -
Jasmine Thomas 20 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -3 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 5 -1 -
V. Dunlap 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 1 3 0 1 5 10 -
T. Phillips 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lawson 32 3-6 1-3 4-4 4 4 0 0 0 11 13 -
Tina Charles 29 7-14 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 1 3 18 9 -
R. Montgomery 29 4-8 3-4 4-4 2 3 0 0 3 15 9 -
T. White 27 0-6 0-4 2-2 5 3 3 0 3 2 4 -
A. Jones 24 7-9 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 1 1 14 14 -
K. Greene 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
K. Griffin 14 3-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
D. McCray 14 5-5 4-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 14 12 -
D. Walker 12 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 3 8 6 -

* = starter