Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +13.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (89-73). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Miller * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Victoria Dunlap | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ta'Shia Phillips | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tan White | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 14 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter