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2011-06-04

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +20 (93-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivory Latta * 35 6-11 2-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 15 - -
Liz Cambage * 34 3-10 0-0 12-14 10 2 2 1 18 - -
Tiffany Jackson * 28 4-9 0-0 1-2 9 4 3 1 9 - -
Amber Holt * 28 2-10 0-1 7-7 8 1 2 0 11 - -
Kayla Pedersen * 19 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Sheryl Swoopes 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jennifer Lacy 12 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Miranda Ayim 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Chastity Reed 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Marion Jones 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 30 9-14 0-0 2-3 4 4 2 1 20 - -
Becky Hammon * 29 6-13 4-8 2-2 0 5 3 0 18 - -
Roneeka Hodges * 26 3-7 2-6 1-1 4 5 1 0 9 - -
Ruth Riley * 23 6-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 12 - -
Tully Bevilaqua * 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 - -
Jia Perkins 24 6-11 3-7 2-2 2 2 3 0 17 - -
Danielle Robinson 18 3-7 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 8 - -
Danielle Adams 15 2-5 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Porsha Phillips 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 - -

* = starter