Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -27 (58-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| B. White * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Tapley | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Franklin | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Franklin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jackson * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| A. M'Baye * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Thiam * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Cruz * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Harrison * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Waddell | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Luster | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Bouedo | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. Hudson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter