Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -27 (58-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Malcolm Thomas * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | -1.6 |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -4.2 |
| Billy White * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -4.1 |
| James Rahon * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Chase Tapley | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Jamaal Franklin | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +7.4 |
| Brian Carlwell | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +5.2 |
| Mehdi Cheriet | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1.4 |
| LaBradford Franklin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Alec Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.7 |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmar Jackson * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +5.3 |
| Amath M'Baye * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Djibril Thiam * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Pako Cruz * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Daylen Harrison * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Adam Waddell | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4.2 |
| JayDee Luster | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Arthur Bouedo | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -10.8 |
| Joe Hudson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter