Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +10 (60-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Turner * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +2.8 |
| Alec Brown * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Rahmon Fletcher * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Bryquis Perine * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | +2.0 |
| Jarvis Williams * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Steve Baker | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -6.8 |
| Seth Evans | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.3 |
| Kam Cerroni | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Greg LeSage | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Clayton Heuer | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.6 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Duggins * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +1.0 |
| N'Gai Evans * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +8.8 |
| Cooper Land * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Troy Tabler * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +6.5 |
| Johann Mpondo * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Armond Battle | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Vance Hall | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Matt Vest | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.6 |
| AJ Pacher | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.6 |
| Cole Darling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
* = starter