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Savannah State Tigers 51
@
Western Illinois Leathernecks 47
2011-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Savannah State Tigers Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Margin 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - ✓

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -4 (47-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jovonni Shuler * 38 7-15 1-6 6-8 5 1 2 1 2 21 13 -
Joshua Montgomery * 37 4-10 1-3 4-4 8 0 1 0 1 13 11 -
Jyles Smith * 37 2-8 0-0 0-0 12 0 2 5 3 4 12 -
Preston Blackman * 32 3-14 1-7 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 7 2 -
Stephen Wilson * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keierre Richards 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Cedric Smith 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Darnel Jones 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Christopher Spears 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Matt Lander * 39 3-14 1-6 3-4 3 4 1 1 2 10 3 -
Jelani Johnson * 39 3-5 2-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 8 10 -
Jack Houpt * 33 3-7 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
Kaimarr Price * 32 5-12 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
Arsenio Mims * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Emeka Okafor Jr. 24 2-7 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Mael Amenyedzi 16 1-3 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -

* = starter