Model Predictions
| Model | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +9 (72-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Martin * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | +4.5 |
| Jeremy Sexton * | 38 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Jamarco Warren * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Kenny Mitchell * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Johnathan Brooks * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Sheldon Strickland | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Troy Pierce | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Zimmy Nwogbo | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.7 |
| Chris Grier | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Matt Kennedy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dickey * | 39 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | -3.3 |
| J.P. Primm * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| John Williams * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -8.5 |
| Chris Stephenson * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -7.7 |
| Quinard Jackson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Jaron Lane | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Eric Stubbs | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +9.9 |
| D.J. Cunningham | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Toles Hartman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
* = starter