Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -3 (69-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Johnson * | 40 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Shorter * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 39 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| George Odufuwa * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kedrick Hogans * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ben Knox | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Edwards | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jamie Egenti | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Bozeman * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Montrell Thornton * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Matt Mouzy * | 17 | 2-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Derrick Bails * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D'Andre Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eric Kibi | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Guy | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
* = starter