Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| S. Wood * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Harrow * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| R. Howell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Sherrill * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| J. Harris * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 29 | - |
| M. Farrakhan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| A. Sene * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Evans | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Harrell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter