Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -6 (57-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodriquez Sherman * | 38 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Justin Greene * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Michael Porrini * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Randal Holt * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Justin Manns * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Carlton Guyton | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Eric Gaines | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Mark Henniger | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Darius Leonard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Crawford * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | +5.7 |
| A'uston Calhoun * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Torian Oglesby * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Scott Thomas * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +11.9 |
| Joe Jakubowski * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Dee Brown | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Mike Dabney | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -1.5 |
| James Erger | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Danny McElroy | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -4.9 |
| Luke Kraus | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Craig Sealey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter