Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +3 (66-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Feurtado | 39 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Rupert Rose | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Donald Qualls | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -5.3 |
| YonDarius Johnson | 29 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Peter Roberson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Justin Patton | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -11.3 |
| Steven Danridge | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Derron Hobbs | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Raschard Boatner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Chris Britt-Black | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Burwell | 41 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Orlando Smith | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | +5.2 |
| Falando Jones | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +11.0 |
| D'Angelo Jackson | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Paul Crosby | 25 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Cor-J Cox | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Amos Studivant | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +9.2 |
| Darian Donald | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Mark Holmes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter