Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +12 (60-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travele Jones | 32 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -20.9 |
| Kevin Galloway | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -16.0 |
| Harrison Smith | 27 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -11.2 |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 27 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | -14.9 |
| Daniel King | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -15.2 |
| Keithtrick Denson | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14.5 |
| Justin Ray | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -14.4 |
| Nico Norris | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Timothy Price | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Abdallah Boune | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.8 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duncan | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Kenderek Washington | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +15.1 |
| Robert Sanders | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +12.3 |
| Ivory White | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +7.4 |
| Tramaine Butler | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +23.3 |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +19.1 |
| Dwayne Harvey | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Tramayne Moorer | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Shareif Adamu | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +7.6 |
| Ryan Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Adrian Spellman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter