Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -5 (70-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Pullen * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +17.8 |
| Rodney McGruder * | 34 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +13.6 |
| Curtis Kelly * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | +13.4 |
| Shane Southwell * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | +5.7 |
| Jamar Samuels * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Jordan Henriquez | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +13.9 |
| Will Spradling | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Martavious Irving | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.1 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 37 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 28 | +6.0 |
| Cory Joseph * | 36 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 34 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Gary Johnson * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Dogus Balbay * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -11.8 |
| J'Covan Brown | 18 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Matt Hill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Jai Lucas | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Alexis Wangmene | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
* = starter