Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -4 (62-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 40 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dante Jackson * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jamel McLean * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Chris Wright * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Juwan Staten * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Devin Searcy | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Parker | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Spearman | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter