Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lamb * | 38 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Roscoe Smith * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Niels Giffey * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Coombs-McDaniel | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Charles Okwandu | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Donnell Beverly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yancy Gates * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Cashmere Wright * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Larry Davis * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rashad Bishop * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Darnell Wilks * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 26 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dion Dixon | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ibrahima Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter