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2011-02-27

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 90.6% 9.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lamb * 38 7-10 3-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 17 14 -
K. Walker * 38 5-11 1-4 5-6 3 4 2 0 3 16 11 -
R. Smith * 27 4-7 3-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 11 10 -
A. Oriakhi * 26 1-5 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
N. Giffey * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
S. Napier 26 3-8 2-4 3-4 1 6 2 0 2 11 10 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
C. Okwandu 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
D. Beverly 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Olander 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gates * 32 6-9 0-0 2-2 8 3 2 0 3 14 15 -
C. Wright * 24 0-5 0-2 3-4 3 4 2 0 3 3 4 -
L. Davis * 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 2 1 -
R. Bishop * 23 5-11 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 11 3 -
D. Wilks * 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
S. Kilpatrick 26 4-12 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 11 6 -
D. Dixon 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 7 0 -
J. Jackson 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 6 4 4 -
I. Thomas 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter