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2011-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.7% 13.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Glynn * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 26 33 -
Eddie Williams * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 8 0 0 2 9 22 -
Antonio Bostic * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
P. Gardner * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 6 10 -
Jereal Scott * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 19 23 -
Denzel Barnes 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Dion Prewster 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
Mark Gomillia 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 9 -

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Reynolds * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 14 17 -
Demond Watt * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 13 23 -
Horace Bond * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 10 14 -
Garland Judkins * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 3 4 -
C. Hawkins-Mast * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Terence Jones 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 15 18 -
Jawan Nelson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 5 3 -
Hollis Hill 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
Antonio Topps 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter