Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders -7 (68-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Glynn * | 40 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Eddie Williams * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Antonio Bostic * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +4.4 |
| P. Gardner * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Jereal Scott * | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Denzel Barnes | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.8 |
| Dion Prewster | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Mark Gomillia | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1.9 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reynolds * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Demond Watt * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | -6.0 |
| Horace Bond * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -6.0 |
| Garland Judkins * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -11.5 |
| Chris Hawkins-Mast * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Terence Jones | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +7.8 |
| Jawan Nelson | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | +4.2 |
| Hollis Hill | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Antonio Topps | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.4 |
* = starter