Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +7 (66-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Beamon * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Michael Alvarado * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Rhamel Brown * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -14.4 |
| Demetrius Jemison * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Kidani Brutus * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Nick Walsh | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| Andrew Gabriel | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Djibril Coulibaly | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -11.2 |
| Mohamed Koita | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Robert Martina | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Nelson * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 21 | +7.9 |
| Kashief Edwards * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Marvin Jordan * | 38 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Kevon Moore * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Eric Williams * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Scooter Gillette | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Malcolm Lemmons | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Skylar Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +6.9 |
* = starter