Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Barrow * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| R. Olander * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Y. Hawkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Nickerson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Fields | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - |
| W. Edney | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| L. Jordan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Matthews | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Glover * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Scott Machado * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Smyth * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jermel Jenkins | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Chris Pelcher | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Randy Dezouvre | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sean Armand | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trinity Fields | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter