Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +5 (74-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Maurice Barrow * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -5.4 |
| Ryan Olander * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | -1.8 |
| Yorel Hawkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Colin Nickerson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Jamel Fields | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 27 | +3.0 |
| Warren Edney | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Lyndon Jordan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Keith Matthews | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +0.6 |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Glover * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 25 | +5.2 |
| Scott Machado * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | +5.3 |
| Kyle Smyth * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -7.3 |
| Jermel Jenkins | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | +2.0 |
| Chris Pelcher | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Randy Dezouvre | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Sean Armand | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Trinity Fields | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter