Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -4 (77-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Black * | 40 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | +16.0 |
| Logan Aronhalt * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Tim Ambrose * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +8.6 |
| Luke Devlin * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +9.1 |
| Blake Metcalf * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | +18.0 |
| Ralph Watts | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -6.9 |
| John Puk | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -17.3 |
| Billy Allen | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Jacob Iati | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.6 |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Barnies * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -17.1 |
| Sean McNally * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -18.1 |
| Terrance Mitchell * | 28 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Malachi Peay * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -16.8 |
| Raheem Singleton * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -18.5 |
| Gerald McLemore | 38 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Andrew Rogers | 26 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +12.4 |
| Alasdair Fraser | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +17.6 |
| Mike Allison | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.4 |
* = starter