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Northwestern Wildcats 63
@
Wisconsin Badgers 78
2011-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Margin 25.2% 74.8% - ✓
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.2% 73.8% - ✓

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +15 (78-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Michael Thompson * 39 6-11 5-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 19 11 +4.0
John Shurna * 35 5-13 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 14 3 -10.4
Drew Crawford * 34 5-12 1-5 1-4 4 3 2 0 1 12 8 -7.6
Mike Capocci * 33 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 0 6 +0.2
Luka Mirkovic * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.2
Davide Curletti 28 6-7 1-1 5-5 6 1 0 0 0 18 18 -3.6
Alex Marcotullio 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.9
Reggie Hearn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jordan Taylor * 37 6-13 2-5 2-2 4 7 0 0 1 16 13 +6.9
Tim Jarmusz * 35 2-3 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 6 10 +6.6
Jon Leuer * 34 9-14 0-2 8-11 6 1 0 0 1 26 18 +8.3
Josh Gasser * 33 2-3 1-2 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 10 9 +12.1
Keaton Nankivil * 30 6-9 2-4 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 15 10 +2.8
Mike Bruesewitz 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 4 +1.4
Ryan Evans 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +4.9
Brett Valentyn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Wquinton Smith 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.3
Jared Berggren 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
J.P. Gavinski 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Ben Brust 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Dan Fahey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter