Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +24 (86-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Council * | 38 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | -13.6 |
| MarShon Brooks * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Gerard Coleman * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 5-9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | -14.5 |
| Kadeem Batts * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Bilal Dixon * | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Bryce Cotton | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -8.0 |
| Ray Hall | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12.4 |
| Dre Evans | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.4 |
| Ron Giplaye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Lee Goldsbrough | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Mike Murray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Xavier Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +15.0 |
| Chris Otule * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Junior Cadougan * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | +26.0 |
| Darius Johnson-Odom * | 27 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +25.5 |
| Erik Williams * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +15.9 |
| Jae Crowder | 23 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +4.4 |
| Dwight Buycks | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Vander Blue | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Davante Gardner | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +13.3 |
| Joseph Fulce | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Jamail Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| Robert Frozena | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
* = starter