Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -20 (47-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaJuan Johnson * | 37 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 30 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Bade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 36 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 3 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Kebler * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter