Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (62-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Wanamaker * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -3.0 |
| Gilbert Brown * | 41 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Ashton Gibbs * | 40 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Gary McGhee * | 31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Nasir Robinson * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | -2.9 |
| Tray Woodall | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Dante Taylor | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Lamar Patterson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.4 |
| J.J. Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Knowles * | 41 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Peyton Siva * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Kyle Kuric * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Terrence Jennings * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Stephan Van Treese * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Mike Marra | 26 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Chris Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +13.8 |
| Gorgui Dieng | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Rakeem Buckles | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
* = starter