Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks +8 (62-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Conley * | 40 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Brian Benson * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Chandler Rhoads * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Scott Morris * | 27 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Dane Diliegro * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordon Bronner | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chris Matagrano | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Valladares | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Herrion | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Zeglinski * | 38 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Milton Burton * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Morgan Sabia * | 33 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Estes * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Minor * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Genesis Maciel | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Clayton Brothers | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Baker | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ross Erickson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter