Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Christian Huskies | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +5 (67-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Gonzalez * | 37 | 4-14 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Shawn Echols * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +7.4 |
| Michael Moss * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Fred Hinnenkamp * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +8.4 |
| Lamar Thomas * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Terry Bembry | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jonathan Evans | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Ben Daniels | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Aaron Asp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Aird * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | -7.3 |
| Jordan Swarbrick * | 35 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Isiah Williams * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -14.8 |
| Geddes Robinson * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -10.5 |
| Holton Hunsaker * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Shawn Deadwiler | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Justin Baker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Kevin Woods II | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Keith Thompson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
* = starter