Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -19 (54-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jones * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Aaron Broussard * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Garrett Lever * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Sterling Carter * | 21 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Gavin Gilmore * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Chad Rasmussen | 33 | 8-10 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7.2 |
| Cervante Burrell | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +8.7 |
| Fredrick Wilson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Taylor Stevens | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Mark McLaughlin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavan Bragg * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Stephon Carter * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -9.7 |
| Rashad Savage * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Cory Brown * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Ivan Matip * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Alex Johnson | 29 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -11.3 |
| Kregg Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
| De'Aundray Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.3 |
| Reynaul Baker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Donald Johnson | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.5 |
* = starter