Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Panthers | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -7 (87-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tone Boyle * | 45 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Kaylon Williams * | 44 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | -1.8 |
| Anthony Hill * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +1.8 |
| Tony Meier * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | -4.1 |
| Ja'Rob McCallum * | 28 | 8-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | -3.0 |
| Ryan Allen | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Kyle Kelm | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Jerard Ajami | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Ryan Haggerty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Allen * | 45 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | +0.8 |
| Kendrick Perry * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Ashen Ward * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Vytas Sulskis * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Dan Boudler * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Damian Eargle | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +7.5 |
| DuShawn Brooks | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Tre Brewer | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Nate Perry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Josh Chojnacki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter