Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +5 (69-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Hatch * | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.6 |
| J.T. Durley * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Toure' Murry * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Aaron Ellis * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Joe Ragland * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -5.6 |
| David Kyles | 23 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Gabe Blair | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Ben Smith | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Demetric Williams | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Garrett Stutz | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +1.9 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Leonard * | 36 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Kyle Weems * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +18.5 |
| Nafis Ricks * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +11.5 |
| Will Creekmore * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Jermaine Mallett * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +7.0 |
| Nathan Scheer | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Caleb Patterson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Isaiah Rhine | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Corey Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter