Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -9 (55-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Trice * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 6 | +14.9 |
| Julian Norfleet * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Shawn Atupem * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +11.1 |
| David Golladay * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Raven Barber * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +7.8 |
| Josh Castellanos | 23 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -14.4 |
| Danny Thompson | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -3.5 |
| Jacolby Wells | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Jean Cajou | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Johnson * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Will Felder * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -8.7 |
| Umar Shannon * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 13-14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | -11.4 |
| Sorena Orandi * | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Mislav Jukic * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Anthony Ervin | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.9 |
| Jon Taylor | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Kam Ritter | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Scott Eatherton | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Tony Peters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Storm Stanley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter