Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | SE Louisiana Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SE Louisiana Lions +11 (74-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewan Clayborn * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Mark Rutledge * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | -0.1 |
| Tadre Sheppard * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Mike Pouncy * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Terry Tidwell * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Imad Qahwash | 19 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -8.6 |
| Ryan Williams | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -5.3 |
| T.K. Smith | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Jacquan McClinton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Trent Hutchin * | 34 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -5 | -9.8 |
| Jason Marks * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5.6 |
| DeShawn Patterson * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | +7.3 |
| David Ndoumba * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -14.5 |
| Gary Dixon | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Roosevelt Johnson | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Antonnio Benton | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Michael Harrel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
* = starter