Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +3 (71-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Lowery | 38 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lorne Jackson | 36 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Darby | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Corbin Moore | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mychel Thompson | 27 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dane Suttle Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gus Clardy | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Denis Agre | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Roquemore | 34 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Troy Payne | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Marc Trasolini | 30 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Foster | 27 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ben Dowdell | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Raymond Cowels III | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Michael Santos | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Niyi Harrison | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John McArthur | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nate Mensah | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter