Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Presbyterian Blue Hose | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Presbyterian Blue Hose +7 (73-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brown * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Jesse Sanders * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| David Minaya * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Evan Gordon * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Antwan Burrus * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Jeremy Anderson | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +14.7 |
| Sommy Ogukwe | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +15.3 |
| Chene Phillips | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +15.1 |
| Carter McMasters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.5 |
| John-Caleb Sanders | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Presbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Allen * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -15.4 |
| Josh Johnson * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -15.8 |
| Khalid Mutakabbir * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Pierre Miller * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -11.9 |
| Jake Troyli * | 24 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Jay Reynolds | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13.2 |
| Ryan Hargrave | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Tyler Deihl | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Joshua Clyburn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter