Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +7 (78-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Ingram * | 31 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Bryant Smith * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Cameron Catlett * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Bradley Gay * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Stuart Lagerson * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.7 |
| LaMarcus Reed III | 29 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -12.3 |
| Shaquille White-Miller | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Jordan Reves | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | +2.4 |
| Darius Richardson | 25 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Armani Williams | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | +5.0 |
| Daniel Francis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mosley * | 40 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 26 | +13.8 |
| Louis Ellis * | 36 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Devon Baker * | 27 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | +16.8 |
| Will Pratt * | 24 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Logan McConathy * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Dominic Knight | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | -7.1 |
| Shamir Davis | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +7.6 |
| Gary Stewart | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -16.7 |
| Tyler Washington | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Patrick Robinson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| James Hulbin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -11.8 |
| O.J. Evans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter