Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina A&T Aggies +4 (76-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeem Ellis | 39 | 11-21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Michael Harper | 39 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Vince Goldsberry | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tony Gallo | 28 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Williams | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ceslovas Kucinskas | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Murray | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Branden Doughty | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Osman Olol | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Collin Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Simpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Coleman | 38 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Marc Hill | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Adrian Powell | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Austin Witter | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nic Simpson | 22 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R.J. Buck | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ray Lester | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Underwood | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| DaMetrius Upchurch | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lawrence Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter