Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (66-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La'Shard Anderson * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Daequon Montreal * | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Robert Arnold * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Paul Noonan | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Westly Perryman | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zach Moritz | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Imadiyi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Story * | 37 | 3-15 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Deonte Burton * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Evans, Jr. * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dario Hunt * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adam Carp * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Olek Czyz | 33 | 9-10 | 2-2 | 5-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Devonte Elliott | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Burris | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Derrell Conner | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Nyeko | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Panzer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Finn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter