Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| D. Montreal * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| R. Arnold * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Noonan | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Perryman | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Burton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Carp * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Czyz | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 35 | - |
| D. Elliott | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Burris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Conner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Panzer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Finn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter