Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +13 (90-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amath M'Baye * | 38 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | -11.4 |
| Pako Cruz * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | +4.7 |
| Djibril Thiam * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | +25.6 |
| JayDee Luster * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Daylen Harrison * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10.8 |
| Desmar Jackson | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | -4.0 |
| Joe Hudson | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Adam Waddell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -9.7 |
| Arthur Bouedo | 10 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -6.8 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +8.4 |
| Chace Stanback * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +4.7 |
| Anthony Marshall * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Tre'Von Willis * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Quintrell Thomas * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -5.4 |
| Justin Hawkins | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -8.6 |
| Derrick Jasper | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Brice Massamba | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Tyler Norman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mychal Martinez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter