Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers -13 (59-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Harper * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +5.5 |
| Kevin Anderson * | 39 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Kevin Smith * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1.9 |
| Dan Geriot * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Darien Brothers * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -9.7 |
| Francis-Cedric Martel | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | +5.3 |
| Darrius Garrett | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Cedrick Lindsay | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Josh Duinker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Greg Robbins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Kevin Hovde | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Derrick Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamar Briscoe * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | +4.2 |
| An'Juan Wilderness * | 33 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Chris Braswell * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Javarris Barnett * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Charles Dewhurst * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | +0.1 |
| K.J. Sherrill | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Gokhan Sirin | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Derrio Green | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2.1 |
* = starter