Model Predictions
| Model | Radford Highlanders | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +23 (81-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolga Cerrah * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Gorkem Sonmez * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Blake Smith * | 21 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Johnathan Edwards * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jareal Smith * | 20 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jeremy Robinson | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Lukas Winegarner | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Evan Faulkner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Allen Dickerson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Williams * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Matt Dickey * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J.P. Primm * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Stephenson * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Eric Stubbs * | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jaron Lane | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Cunningham | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Trent Meyer | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Quinard Jackson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Toles Hartman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Madison Davis | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Seligson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Harn | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter