Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +18 (57-39). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steffphon Pettigrew * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -11.0 |
| Sergio Kerusch * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -14.3 |
| Caden Dickerson * | 33 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -8.9 |
| Jamal Crook * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Juan Pattillo * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -11.4 |
| Kahlil McDonald | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -15.7 |
| Teeng Akol | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Mike Gabbard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Stephon Drane | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Kene Anyigbo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Washington III * | 38 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +17.0 |
| Jason Jones * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Trevor Ottley * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +16.3 |
| JT Sulton * | 22 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +6.9 |
| Rod Emanuel * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jimmy Oden | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Shawn Jones | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
| James Gallman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.5 |
| Trevor Charles | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2.8 |
| K.C. Anuna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Cory Herald | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Zane Gibson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Kyle Hunt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter