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Model Predictions

Model Sam Houston Bearkats Lamar Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Margin 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—

Actual: Lamar Cardinals -7 (60-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Lance Pevehouse * 35 2-7 1-6 0-0 6 3 2 2 1 5 10 +2.8
Josten Crow * 35 3-10 1-5 2-2 5 6 1 0 2 9 9 +8.1
Drae Murray * 30 5-8 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 13 9 -8.5
Gilberto Clavell * 24 7-11 0-1 8-9 8 0 1 0 1 22 19 +5.4
Antuan Bootle * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 4 7 +10.2
Nafis Richardson 24 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 8 4 -8.0
Marcus James 13 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 4 6 0 -1.3
Aaron Thompson 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 1 -0.7
Kelly Lawson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.6

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Anthony Miles * 37 5-10 1-3 3-3 1 4 1 0 4 14 6 -8.0
Donley Minor * 36 4-15 2-9 1-2 1 3 3 0 2 11 1 -1.5
Coy Custer * 31 2-4 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 1 0 7 11 -6.9
Stan Brown * 21 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 1 0 3 6 -10.9
Devon Lamb * 18 1-5 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 1 2 2 3 -1.7
Charlie Harper 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 5 4 +7.4
Brandon Davis 17 3-6 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 10 6 +2.4
Mike James 13 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 3 +6.7
Orlando Brazier 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 +4.0

* = starter