Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +10 (80-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence Bowers * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -11.7 |
| Kim English * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Marcus Denmon * | 34 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | -12.8 |
| Phil Pressey * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Ricardo Ratliffe * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Matt Pressey | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -7.1 |
| Michael Dixon Jr. | 20 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Justin Safford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Steve Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Rick Kreklow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Kelly * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +10.0 |
| Rodney McGruder * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +19.4 |
| Jacob Pullen * | 24 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 14 | +18.5 |
| Jamar Samuels * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Shane Southwell * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Will Spradling | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Jordan Henriquez | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Nick Russell | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +5.5 |
| Martavious Irving | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Victor Ojeleye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter