Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Florida International Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida International Panthers +7 (83-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 40 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Vernon Taylor * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Travis Lee * | 31 | 6-20 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Bernard Toombs * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Steven Cunningham * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Levan Patsatsia | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Regis Huddleston | 25 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Tim Owens | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida International Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Wright * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Marvin Roberts * | 36 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Phil Gary * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Allen * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Ferguson * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Frederick | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tremayne Russell | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Bell | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Phil Taylor | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Stephon Weaver | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Anderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steven Miro | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter