Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charleston Southern Buccaneers -4 (77-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Nieman * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12.1 |
| Sam McLaurin * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -14.1 |
| Brandon Crawford * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -9.7 |
| Dexter Moore * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -8.8 |
| Chad Gray * | 23 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -19.3 |
| Anthony Raffa | 32 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +1.0 |
| Jon Pack | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Jordan Griffin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sexton * | 37 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Jamarco Warren * | 37 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 20 | +8.4 |
| Johnathan Brooks * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +13.2 |
| Kelvin Martin * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Kenny Mitchell * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +13.3 |
| Sheldon Strickland | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Troy Pierce | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Matt Kennedy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Chris Grier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.7 |
| Zimmy Nwogbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter