Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -7 (58-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bond * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jarrod Jones * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Randy Davis * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Malik Perry * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Tyrae Robinson | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jesse Berry | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Pierre Sneed | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zach Fields | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Zeigler * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Derek Jackson * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jalin Thomas * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| John Morris * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| William McClure * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andre Coimbra | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Weary | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Finis Craddock | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Colin Voss | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Paris Paramore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jevon Harden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter