Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +7 (63-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Averkamp * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Geoff McCammon * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Courtney Stanley * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Terrance Hill * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Andy Polka * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Walt Gibler | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Denzel Brito | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7.4 |
| Chim Kadima | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.4 |
| Jonathon Gac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| John Benkoske | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Gabe Kindred | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Ryan Sterling | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Howard * | 37 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Shawn Vanzant * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Zach Hahn * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Alex Anglin * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Grant Leiendecker * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Andrew Smith | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Shelvin Mack | 35 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Ronald Nored | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Chase Stigall | 12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Garrett Butcher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
| Khyle Marshall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Chrishawn Hopkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Erik Fromm | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Emerson Kampen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter