Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Bucknell Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bucknell Bison +14 (78-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Ellis * | 36 | 7-18 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | -8.1 |
| Jeremy Hence * | 35 | 9-21 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | -6.8 |
| Andrew Stire * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Josh Herbeck * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Jason Pancoe * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.8 |
| Julian Simmons | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -6.3 |
| Mitch McDonald | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Cartavious Kincade | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Jordan Springer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14.2 |
| Alex Godette | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brian Hornstein | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Chris Welker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Nathan Hedgecock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryl Shazier * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Bryson Johnson * | 30 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +10.0 |
| Mike Muscala * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | +8.0 |
| Bryan Cohen * | 18 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +11.3 |
| Joe Willman * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Cameron Ayers | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +16.2 |
| G.W. Boon | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +19.2 |
| Enoch Andoh | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Ryan Hill | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Stephen Tyree | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Ben Brackney | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Probese Leo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Colin Klebon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
* = starter